New PDF release: America's new swing region: changing politics and

By Ruy Teixeira

ISBN-10: 0815722869

ISBN-13: 9780815722861

The Mountain West —Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Nevada, New Mexico, and Utah —has develop into the hot swing quarter in American politics. All indicators aspect to those states, specially Colorado, Nevada and New Mexico, being the most important within the 2012 election. regrettably, the increase of this zone has been underreported within the media, and plenty of political observers have in simple terms the main superficial realizing of the profound financial, political, and social alterations that proceed to reshape the Mountain West. America's New Swing zone is the remedy.Led via bestselling writer and political analyst Ruy Teixeira, a skilled staff of students assembled through the Brookings Mountain West software (housed on the college of Nevada–Las Vegas) provides the proof and the narrative invaluable for knowing what's taking place during this area and why it's so important.Contents 1. advent and Overview2. America's New Swing quarter: The Political Demography and Geography of the Mountain West3. Metropolitan vote casting styles within the Mountain West: the recent and previous Political Heartlands4. Hispanics, Race, and the altering Political panorama of the us Mountain West5. The Political Attitudes of the Millennial new release within the Mountain West6. The Mountain West this day: A neighborhood Survey7. Reapportionment and Redistricting within the Mountain WestContributors contain Karlyn Bowman (American firm Institute), David Damore(University of Nevada–Las Vegas (UNLV), William Frey (Brookings Institution), Scott Keeter (Pew examine Center), Robert E. Lang (Brookings, UNLV, and the Lincy Institute), Tom Sanchez (Virginia Tech University), and Ruy Teixeira (Century starting place and the heart for American Progress).

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F rey and R uy T eixeira (roughly equivalent to the Denver inner suburbs); Central (roughly equivalent to our Central and Southeast region); East; and West (the last two regions are close to our East and North and West regions). Obama actually carried white working-class voters in the Denver–Boulder exit poll region by 10 points and in Arapahoe–Jefferson by 6 points. But in the other three exit poll regions—Central, East, and West—his deficits were respectively 33, 38, and 24 points. Among white college-graduate voters, the pattern was different.

Tucson (light green), which accounted for 17 percent of the Arizona vote, shifted toward the Democrats by 8 points. And the Phoenix metro area (accounting for 64 percent of the statewide vote), led by Maricopa County (dark green), shifted toward the Democrats by an impressive 19 points. indd 22 1/24/12 5:38 PM WEST Arizona Metropolitan Areas and Regions Prescott Map B-1. Arizona Metropolitan Areas and Regions Arizona Population Growth by County, 2000-2010 Flagstaff PHOENIX NORTH Yuma SOUTHEAST WEST Prescott TUCSON NORTH REGIONS PHOENIX Counties Yuma Metropolitan areas SOUTHEAST TUCSON WEST REGIONS Counties Metropolitan areas Arizona Population Growth by County, 2000-2010 Map B-2.

Toward the 2012 Election and Beyond Colorado’s demographic and geographic trends provide a useful interpretive framework for thinking about the 2012 election and beyond. Since 1988, these trends have been, on net, very good for the Democrats. But that does not mean that all trends benefiting the Democrats will continue indefinitely or, when they do continue, that they will benefit the Democrats to the same extent as in the past. The 2010 election illustrates this uncertainty. Chiefly because of the poor economy, the political environment turned against the Democrats and created an extraordinarily favorable climate for Republican candidates in 2010.

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America's new swing region: changing politics and demographics in the Mountain West by Ruy Teixeira


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