By James E. Campbell
An exciting phenomenon in American electoral politics is the lack of seats by way of the president's occasion in midterm congressional elections. among 1862 and 1990, the president's social gathering misplaced seats in the home of Representatives in 32 of the 33 midterm elections. In his new learn, James Campbell examines reasons for those midterm losses and explores how presidential elections effect congressional elections.
After reviewing the 2 significant theories of midterm electoral change-the "surge and decline" thought and the idea of midterms as referenda on presidential functionality Campbell attracts upon each one to suggest and try a brand new idea. He asserts that during the years of presidential elections congressmen trip presidential coattails into place of work, whereas in midterm elections such applicants are stranded. an extra issue is the energy of the presidential vote, which impacts the variety of seats which are received, simply to be misplaced later.
Finally, Campbell examines how the presidential pulse could have an effect on electoral responsibility, the connection among Congress and the president, and the relative power of Congress, the president, and political events. He explores the consequences of the presidential pulse for figuring out electoral swap, comparing the yankee voter's
competence, and assessing the significance of split-ticket voting.
Including either election returns and survey info, The Presidential Pulse of Congressional Elections deals a clean point of view on congressional elections, vote casting habit, Congress, and the presidency.